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Showing posts from January, 2019

Introducing Satellite Score

So named for the backfield weapons it means to identify, Satellite Score is a metric that adjusts college receiving production (using target share) for total production (using Dominator Rating) to show which RBs were contextually the most involved as receivers in college. Brian Spurlock -- USA Today Sports While the round a player was drafted in and the more volume-based target share statistic are better predictors of how much receiving volume a RB is likely to see in the NFL (as as a general rule of thumb, the best players are the most productive players, in both college and the NFL), Satellite Score is the best predictor of the portion of a RB's total NFL opportunities that targets will account for. The higher the Satellite Score, the higher degree to which receiving the ball projects to be an element of a player's NFL role. The r-squared values of the statistics that best correlate to targets as a percent of a player's total opportunities (targets + carries):